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The Big CityIf/When California's Proposition 64 passes on November 8, and sales begin by January 1, 2018, California's looking at an additional $1.5 billion flooding into the marijuana market. That number swells to just shy of $3 billion in 2019, and nearly $4 billion by 2020, based on the latest report from New Frontier Data and ArcView Market Research.
And to be clear, that's on top of the already booming medical marijuana market — the total size of the cannabis market would reach $4.27 billion in 2018, and would grow to $6.45 billion by 2020. The ballot initiative has overwhelming support in California: Over 60% of respondents support Prop. 64, compared to just 34% opposed, according to Ballotpedia's average of polls. |
The Adult Use of Marijuana Act raised more than enough signatures to get Proposition 64 added to the state ballot in November. Beyond the tremendous market growth above, the state of California itself stands to earn a substantial chunk of cash from marijuana legalization.
There are two specific taxes that Prop. 64 applies to legal marijuana:
So, what's the impact in dollars? Anywhere from, "high hundreds of millions of dollars to over $1 billion annually, according to the nonpartisan Legislative Analyst's office. That's before factoring in, "reduced criminal justice costs of tens of millions of dollars annually." The vote on Proposition 64 takes place on November 8, alongside the presidential election. California joins four other states voting on whether or not to fully legalize marijuana. |
CALIFORNIA RULES AT A GLANCE
Assembly Bill No. 243
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Assembly Bill No. 266
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Assembly Bill No. 643
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